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Objective: surface the shopping centers in our portfolio that generate outsized foot-traffic and loyalty so management can spotlight winners, troubleshoot laggards, and sharpen capital-allocation decisions. We leverage three Placer-derived KPIs—Visits / Sq Ft, Repeat-Visit Loyalty, Composite Quality Score—and track their evolution from 2022-2024 to reveal both structural strengths and emerging trends.
Note: All Data is anonymized and so none of the properties are identifiable.
KPIs: - Visits / Sq Ft - Repeat-Visit Loyalty - Composite Quality Score
Here's a sample of the data I used for this analysis:
0 |
The Grove at First Street |
107016 |
8.12 |
3 |
7801 |
80 |
40151 |
2545.0 |
87.0 |
21020.0 |
... |
2 |
9536 |
76 |
40151 |
4110.0 |
80.0 |
21020.0 |
1661253 |
1528855 |
1490412 |
1 |
Riverbend Plaza |
99159 |
6.90 |
2 |
11771 |
70 |
40151 |
5454.0 |
74.0 |
21020.0 |
... |
1 |
11367 |
71 |
40151 |
5011.0 |
76.0 |
21020.0 |
1194043 |
1291079 |
1286964 |
2 |
Oakwood Shopping Village |
65808 |
5.93 |
1 |
15983 |
60 |
40151 |
7613.0 |
63.0 |
21020.0 |
... |
1 |
15043 |
62 |
40151 |
6389.0 |
69.0 |
21020.0 |
875297 |
829095 |
988772 |
3 |
Willow Creek Center |
365897 |
6.55 |
1 |
1175 |
97 |
40151 |
4619.0 |
78.0 |
21020.0 |
... |
1 |
1101 |
97 |
40151 |
4266.0 |
79.0 |
21020.0 |
4673175 |
5017505 |
5019688 |
4 |
Pinecrest Mall |
98775 |
5.05 |
2 |
13694 |
65 |
40151 |
7520.0 |
64.0 |
21020.0 |
... |
2 |
14572 |
63 |
40151 |
8462.0 |
59.0 |
21020.0 |
1036259 |
1038383 |
1021916 |
5 rows × 29 columns
1) Visits/Sqft
1a) Top 10 Properties by Average Visits
- First, lets look at the top 10 properties by average visits.
- I don’t think there are too many surprises here.
- The issue with just using this metric though is that it obviously is biased towards larger properties.
Top 10 Properties by Average Visits (2022-2024):
28 |
Oceanfront Walk |
4,825,087 |
4,991,752 |
5,176,547 |
4,997,795 |
3 |
Willow Creek Center |
4,673,175 |
5,017,505 |
5,019,688 |
4,903,456 |
75 |
Galaxy Galleria |
4,517,743 |
4,687,365 |
4,966,482 |
4,723,863 |
39 |
Cypress Bend |
4,515,407 |
4,534,461 |
5,066,181 |
4,705,350 |
31 |
Coastal Breeze Center |
4,435,693 |
4,380,575 |
4,529,579 |
4,448,616 |
51 |
Terminal Market |
4,159,951 |
4,285,495 |
4,265,594 |
4,237,013 |
34 |
Redwood Circle |
3,798,661 |
4,082,306 |
4,429,453 |
4,103,473 |
7 |
Elm Street Pavilion |
3,631,353 |
4,088,438 |
4,085,601 |
3,935,131 |
47 |
Ten Pin Alley Shops |
3,895,502 |
3,850,069 |
4,041,524 |
3,929,032 |
68 |
Lionsgate Center |
3,875,309 |
3,800,674 |
3,934,154 |
3,870,046 |
1b) We will now instead look at the Ranking of the our portfolio by visits/sqft per year.
The table below looks at the average, median, min, max, and standard deviation of the visits/sqft percentile by year.
- We can see that are top performers are in the 100th percentile and our bottom performers are in the 20th percentile. Having such large ranges is problematic, so we will filter out any properties that are below the 10th percentile in any year then visualize the results over time to get an understanding of trends.
2) Visits
2a) Visits Ranking by Year
With the issues mentioned above, lets look at the visits ranking by year.
The table below shows the average, median, min, max, and standard deviation of the visits percentile by year.
I did the same filtering process as above to remove the outliers, however, we can see that the data is still quite left-skewed.
Nonetheless, the median percentile of our properties is quite consistent at the 75th percentile, putting us clearly as an upper-quartile performer.
2b) Visits Ranking by Year - KDE Plot
To try to provide a visual representation of the skwedness of our data, I created a distrubtion plot of the visits percentile rankings by year.
The plot shows that the data is quite left-skewed, with the highest densities found > 80th percentile, but with the median of the most recent year being 75th percentile.
The 75th percentile is marked with a black dotted line.
3) Blended Score (visits & visits/sqft)
3a) Blended Score Ranking by Year
Here I created a blended score that takes into account both visits and visits per sqft.
I weighted visits by 65% and visits per sqft by 35%.
The table below shows the top 20 performers by blended score for the most recent year.
Interestingly, [favorite property] doesn’t show up until we make the visits weighted by 95%. On the other hand, I was suprised by the number of properties, like x, y,z that show up in the top 20 yet I honestly never think about. While we also think of x as one of our top properties, it doesn’t show up until we make the visits weighted by 90%. Look, obviously visits sales, but the results of this percentile analysis are interesting and I can follow up with more analysis if needed.
Our formula for this is simple:
Portfolio-Level Blended Score Statistics
Mean |
69.83 |
69.64 |
69.46 |
Median |
76.10 |
74.50 |
74.40 |
Top 20 Shopping Centers by Blended Performance Score (2024)
Weighting: 65% Visits, 35% Visits per Square Foot
68 |
Lionsgate Center |
96.40 |
95.00 |
99.00 |
3,934,154 |
44.51 |
45 |
Eighth Wonder Outlets |
95.45 |
93.00 |
100.00 |
3,346,932 |
165.67 |
13 |
Liberty Market |
93.80 |
91.00 |
99.00 |
3,046,713 |
18.20 |
39 |
Cypress Bend |
93.15 |
97.00 |
86.00 |
5,066,181 |
14.01 |
28 |
Oceanfront Walk |
91.40 |
97.00 |
81.00 |
5,176,547 |
21.94 |
23 |
Southridge Emporium |
91.30 |
92.00 |
90.00 |
3,108,074 |
16.65 |
3 |
Willow Creek Center |
90.70 |
97.00 |
79.00 |
5,019,688 |
12.77 |
58 |
Agora Marketplace |
90.10 |
88.00 |
94.00 |
2,547,526 |
19.16 |
8 |
Sunset Galleria |
90.10 |
88.00 |
94.00 |
2,525,075 |
16.70 |
7 |
Elm Street Pavilion |
89.75 |
95.00 |
80.00 |
4,085,601 |
12.44 |
78 |
Harvest Moon Market |
89.70 |
96.00 |
78.00 |
4,266,807 |
9.82 |
64 |
Eagle Rock Plaza |
89.50 |
86.00 |
96.00 |
2,264,797 |
25.20 |
69 |
Tiger Paw Place |
89.05 |
88.00 |
91.00 |
2,496,984 |
15.79 |
31 |
Coastal Breeze Center |
88.30 |
96.00 |
74.00 |
4,529,579 |
12.41 |
54 |
Artisan's Alley |
87.70 |
87.00 |
89.00 |
2,401,066 |
15.19 |
42 |
Five Points Retail Park |
87.70 |
87.00 |
89.00 |
2,375,442 |
18.41 |
72 |
Starlight Pavilion |
85.90 |
81.00 |
95.00 |
1,785,255 |
20.72 |
75 |
Galaxy Galleria |
85.80 |
97.00 |
65.00 |
4,966,482 |
10.10 |
44 |
Seventh Heaven Stores |
85.20 |
95.00 |
67.00 |
3,992,094 |
10.05 |
51 |
Terminal Market |
85.20 |
95.00 |
67.00 |
4,265,594 |
11.25 |
3b) Blended Score Ranking Changes
Here I calculated the centers that had the biggest improvements and declines in blended score from 2022 to 2024.
Here we have score where, is good, and rank (within our portfolio), where is good.
Obviously retenanting is a large part of the results of this analysis, for example, property 79 is likely had its decline due to the bankruptcy of 99 Cents. As this was one of the co-anchors, it likely had a large impact on the center’s performance. However, this gives us a way to quantify that drop.
Top 10 Shopping Centers with Biggest Rank Improvements (2022-2024)
78 |
Harvest Moon Market |
76.00 |
87.00 |
11.00 |
36 |
16 |
-20 |
77 |
Vineyard Valley Shops |
74.50 |
78.00 |
3.50 |
40 |
27 |
-13 |
13 |
Liberty Market |
86.50 |
95.00 |
8.50 |
14 |
3 |
-11 |
43 |
Six Mile Shopping Hub |
74.00 |
77.00 |
3.00 |
41 |
31 |
-10 |
44 |
Seventh Heaven Stores |
77.50 |
81.00 |
3.50 |
30 |
21 |
-9 |
22 |
Northpoint Hub |
77.50 |
81.00 |
3.50 |
30 |
21 |
-9 |
14 |
Freedom Town Center |
76.00 |
78.00 |
2.00 |
36 |
27 |
-9 |
1 |
Riverbend Plaza |
72.00 |
73.50 |
1.50 |
45 |
38 |
-7 |
40 |
The Shoppes at Three Rivers |
50.50 |
58.50 |
8.00 |
61 |
55 |
-6 |
8 |
Sunset Galleria |
87.50 |
91.00 |
3.50 |
11 |
5 |
-6 |
Top 10 Shopping Centers with Biggest Rank Drops (2022-2024)
33 |
Bluebonnet Row |
77.50 |
66.00 |
-11.50 |
30 |
48 |
18 |
55 |
Craftsman's Corner |
79.00 |
73.00 |
-6.00 |
24 |
41 |
17 |
56 |
The Forum Shops |
79.00 |
73.50 |
-5.50 |
24 |
38 |
14 |
26 |
Valley View Outlets |
81.00 |
74.50 |
-6.50 |
22 |
35 |
13 |
9 |
Golden Valley Mart |
90.50 |
87.00 |
-3.50 |
6 |
16 |
10 |
53 |
Millworks Retail |
77.00 |
71.00 |
-6.00 |
35 |
44 |
9 |
0 |
The Grove at First Street |
83.50 |
78.00 |
-5.50 |
19 |
27 |
8 |
11 |
Diamond Heights Place |
78.00 |
75.50 |
-2.50 |
27 |
34 |
7 |
42 |
Five Points Retail Park |
91.00 |
88.00 |
-3.00 |
4 |
11 |
7 |
6 |
Cedar Ridge Shops |
63.00 |
55.00 |
-8.00 |
51 |
58 |
7 |
3c) Stability and Percentile Change Visualization:
Now lets look at the most stable properties. These are our properties that have had the most consistent performance (smallest absolute score change) between 2022 and 2024. We can see that of our major properties, property 11, 63, and 73 are some of the most stable properties in our portfolio.
Below our table of stable properties, we have a histogram to show the distribution of score changes between 2022 and 2024. We can see that the median is at 0, but that we overall had slightly more properties declining in blended score over this period than properties that improved. Rememeber this is all based on Shopping Center Percentile Rankings, not actual visits or visits/sqft. So these are all relative metrics, not absolute metrics.
Top 10 Most Stable Shopping Centers (2022-2024)
10 |
Silverlake Promenade |
78.00 |
78.00 |
0.00 |
27 |
27 |
0 |
62 |
Clearwater Commons |
27.00 |
27.00 |
0.00 |
67 |
66 |
-1 |
72 |
Starlight Pavilion |
88.00 |
88.00 |
0.00 |
9 |
11 |
2 |
23 |
Southridge Emporium |
91.00 |
91.00 |
0.00 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
68 |
Lionsgate Center |
97.00 |
97.00 |
0.00 |
2 |
1 |
-1 |
47 |
Ten Pin Alley Shops |
68.00 |
67.50 |
-0.50 |
48 |
47 |
-1 |
19 |
Uptown Shoppes |
75.00 |
74.50 |
-0.50 |
38 |
35 |
-3 |
37 |
Azalea Path |
65.00 |
65.50 |
0.50 |
49 |
49 |
0 |
66 |
Hawk's Landing |
74.00 |
73.50 |
-0.50 |
41 |
38 |
-3 |
46 |
Ninth Life Plaza |
77.50 |
77.00 |
-0.50 |
30 |
31 |
1 |
Summary Statistics of Score Changes:
Score Change |
71.000000 |
-0.350000 |
4.370000 |
-12.000000 |
-2.750000 |
0.000000 |
2.000000 |
13.000000 |
41.333333 |
46.666667 |
4) Loyalty Analysis:
4b) Now we will look at the top 15 properties by visits per customer over time.
4c) Now we will be a little more granular and look at the distribution of avg. visits per customer by year in our portfolio.
The chart is a little messy because we have a large range of values for visits, but the chart represents the average and median visits per customer by year (red and green lines respectively) and the interquartile range (blue area) which represents the 25th and 75th percentiles.
We can see that our average visits per customer has stayed relatively consistent over the years, at about 5.5 visits per customer, across our portfolio.
5) Composite Score:
Now we will try to construct a overall composite score for each property. We will use the following metrics:
Visits
Visits per sqft
Loyalty (measured by avg. visits per customer)
Visits Growth
5a) Z-score Index (Equal Weights)
We will start our composite score with a simple z-score index.
This is the most simple metric to create a combined score. What we do is standardize each metric to have a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. Then we take the average of the z-scores.
The scores represent the number of standard deviations away from the mean a property is performing on a specefic metric.
- For example, property 79 has a scaled visits score of 1.49 meaning the visits at property 79 are 1.49 standard deviations above the mean of all properties.
Z-score formula:
Top Centers by Z-Score Index
Property |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Harvest Moon Market |
1.491580 |
0.024693 |
1.096336 |
1.534852 |
1.036865 |
100.000000 |
Brookside Village |
0.658050 |
1.530969 |
0.175414 |
1.710263 |
1.018674 |
98.734177 |
Liberty Market |
0.921270 |
1.654434 |
-0.263121 |
1.622557 |
0.983785 |
97.468354 |
Elm Street Pavilion |
1.316100 |
0.172851 |
1.491017 |
0.877058 |
0.964256 |
96.202532 |
Bayside Market |
0.109675 |
1.432197 |
1.271750 |
0.745499 |
0.889780 |
94.936709 |
Seventh Heaven Stores |
1.316100 |
-0.370396 |
1.447163 |
1.096323 |
0.872297 |
93.670886 |
Galaxy Galleria |
1.645125 |
-0.518554 |
1.710284 |
0.570088 |
0.851736 |
92.405063 |
Sunset Galleria |
0.789660 |
1.135880 |
-0.175414 |
1.447146 |
0.799318 |
91.139241 |
Lionsgate Center |
1.316100 |
1.654434 |
0.482388 |
-0.438529 |
0.753598 |
89.873418 |
Cypress Bend |
1.645125 |
0.543247 |
-0.087707 |
0.833205 |
0.733467 |
88.607595 |
5b) Min-Max Normalized Geometric Mean
This is a more complex metric to create a combined score. What we do is standardize each metric between 1 and 10. Then we take the geometric mean of the scores.
We use the geometric mean because it rewards properties that are performing well on all metrics more than the arithmetic mean which would reward properties that are performing well on a few metrics more than the others.
We also penalize properties that have a higher standard deviation in their scores (uneven performance) by adding a penalty to the geometric mean.
We can see that the while the intial min-max normalized geometric mean looks almost the same as the z-score index, the penalized geometric mean is much different with property 79 moving from the 10th to 1st place and centers like property 62, 69, and 30 moving into the top 10.
Geometric Mean formula:
Penalized Geometric Mean formula:
Top Centers by Min-Max Normalized Geometric Mean
Property |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Harvest Moon Market |
9.588235 |
5.563380 |
8.384615 |
9.538462 |
8.081830 |
100.000000 |
Brookside Village |
7.352941 |
9.429577 |
5.961538 |
10.000000 |
8.018219 |
98.734177 |
Elm Street Pavilion |
9.117647 |
5.943662 |
9.423077 |
7.807692 |
7.946266 |
97.468354 |
Liberty Market |
8.058824 |
9.746479 |
4.807692 |
9.769231 |
7.793438 |
96.202532 |
Bayside Market |
5.882353 |
9.176056 |
8.846154 |
7.461538 |
7.725872 |
94.936709 |
Seventh Heaven Stores |
9.117647 |
4.549296 |
9.307692 |
8.384615 |
7.542894 |
93.670886 |
Sunset Galleria |
7.705882 |
8.415493 |
5.038462 |
9.307692 |
7.426095 |
92.405063 |
Galaxy Galleria |
10.000000 |
4.169014 |
10.000000 |
7.000000 |
7.349924 |
91.139241 |
Cypress Bend |
10.000000 |
6.894366 |
5.269231 |
7.692308 |
7.270672 |
89.873418 |
Artisan's Alley |
7.352941 |
7.401408 |
6.942308 |
7.230769 |
7.229628 |
88.607595 |
Top Centers by Penalized Geometric Mean (Balanced Performance)
Property |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Artisan's Alley |
7.352941 |
7.401408 |
6.942308 |
7.230769 |
7.080732 |
100.000000 |
Elm Street Pavilion |
9.117647 |
5.943662 |
9.423077 |
7.807692 |
6.688305 |
98.734177 |
Bayside Market |
5.882353 |
9.176056 |
8.846154 |
7.461538 |
6.565019 |
97.468354 |
Harvest Moon Market |
9.588235 |
5.563380 |
8.384615 |
9.538462 |
6.556550 |
96.202532 |
Brookside Village |
7.352941 |
9.429577 |
5.961538 |
10.000000 |
6.519627 |
94.936709 |
Falcon Ridge Mall |
7.000000 |
6.260563 |
8.730769 |
6.769231 |
6.368749 |
93.670886 |
Sunset Galleria |
7.705882 |
8.415493 |
5.038462 |
9.307692 |
6.059963 |
92.405063 |
Liberty Market |
8.058824 |
9.746479 |
4.807692 |
9.769231 |
5.974702 |
91.139241 |
Seventh Heaven Stores |
9.117647 |
4.549296 |
9.307692 |
8.384615 |
5.861216 |
89.873418 |
Willow Creek Center |
10.000000 |
5.753521 |
7.461538 |
6.307692 |
5.853494 |
88.607595 |
5c) PCA-based Composite Score
This is a the most complex of the metrics we will look at.
PCA is a statistical technique that transforms a set of variables into a smaller set of uncorrelated variables called principal components.
Here, we use PCA to find the “optimal” weights for our composite score.
This is the most data-driven of the composite scores and finds the weights that best explain the variance in the data.
The big downside is that it is very difficult to understand the weights and the composite score is not as interpretable as the other methods.
Top Centers by PCA-based Composite Score
Property |
|
|
|
|
|
Galaxy Galleria |
0.981013 |
0.363014 |
1.000000 |
0.670886 |
100.000000 |
Harvest Moon Market |
0.936709 |
0.513699 |
0.822785 |
0.949367 |
98.734177 |
Elm Street Pavilion |
0.886076 |
0.554795 |
0.936709 |
0.759494 |
97.468354 |
Seventh Heaven Stores |
0.886076 |
0.404110 |
0.924051 |
0.822785 |
96.202532 |
Willow Creek Center |
0.981013 |
0.534247 |
0.721519 |
0.594937 |
94.936709 |
Redwood Circle |
0.936709 |
0.123288 |
0.772152 |
0.873418 |
93.670886 |
Brookside Village |
0.696203 |
0.931507 |
0.556962 |
1.000000 |
92.405063 |
Cypress Bend |
0.981013 |
0.657534 |
0.481013 |
0.746835 |
91.139241 |
Bayside Market |
0.537975 |
0.904110 |
0.873418 |
0.721519 |
89.873418 |
Lionsgate Center |
0.886076 |
0.965753 |
0.645570 |
0.379747 |
88.607595 |
5d) Final Scores (Using a combination of all ranking methods)
Here we will create an average of the rankings across all methods.
This will give us a more comprehensive view of the rankings across all methods.
I think this is the best way to look at the rankings across all methods.
All Centers Ranked by Consistency Across All Ranking Methods
1 |
Harvest Moon Market |
100.00 |
100.00 |
96.20 |
98.73 |
98.73 |
2 |
Elm Street Pavilion |
96.20 |
97.47 |
98.73 |
97.47 |
97.47 |
3 |
Brookside Village |
98.73 |
98.73 |
94.94 |
92.41 |
96.20 |
4 |
Bayside Market |
94.94 |
94.94 |
97.47 |
89.87 |
94.30 |
5 |
Seventh Heaven Stores |
93.67 |
93.67 |
89.87 |
96.20 |
93.35 |
6 |
Liberty Market |
97.47 |
96.20 |
91.14 |
87.34 |
93.04 |
7 |
Galaxy Galleria |
92.41 |
91.14 |
77.22 |
100.00 |
90.19 |
8 |
Willow Creek Center |
87.34 |
87.34 |
88.61 |
94.94 |
89.56 |
9 |
Cypress Bend |
88.61 |
89.87 |
87.34 |
91.14 |
89.24 |
10 |
Artisan's Alley |
84.81 |
88.61 |
100.00 |
78.48 |
87.97 |
11 |
Sunset Galleria |
91.14 |
92.41 |
92.41 |
75.95 |
87.97 |
12 |
Falcon Ridge Mall |
83.54 |
84.81 |
93.67 |
83.54 |
86.39 |
13 |
Lionsgate Center |
89.87 |
86.08 |
81.01 |
88.61 |
86.39 |
14 |
Crossroads Center |
86.08 |
83.54 |
86.08 |
81.01 |
84.18 |
15 |
Greenfield Corners |
77.22 |
79.75 |
82.28 |
82.28 |
80.38 |
16 |
Southridge Emporium |
74.68 |
82.28 |
84.81 |
72.15 |
78.48 |
17 |
Coastal Breeze Center |
72.15 |
77.22 |
73.42 |
84.81 |
76.90 |
18 |
Eagle Rock Plaza |
82.28 |
75.95 |
65.82 |
79.75 |
75.95 |
19 |
Agora Marketplace |
75.95 |
78.48 |
83.54 |
64.56 |
75.63 |
20 |
Northpoint Hub |
78.48 |
81.01 |
79.75 |
59.49 |
74.68 |
21 |
Colonnade Retail |
73.42 |
72.15 |
60.76 |
86.08 |
73.10 |
22 |
Redwood Circle |
81.01 |
67.09 |
48.10 |
93.67 |
72.47 |
23 |
Oceanfront Walk |
70.89 |
73.42 |
70.89 |
70.89 |
71.52 |
24 |
Freedom Town Center |
67.09 |
69.62 |
72.15 |
69.62 |
69.62 |
25 |
Riverbend Plaza |
64.56 |
70.89 |
75.95 |
63.29 |
68.67 |
26 |
Ninth Life Plaza |
65.82 |
65.82 |
68.35 |
74.68 |
68.67 |
27 |
Silverlake Promenade |
63.29 |
68.35 |
78.48 |
60.76 |
67.72 |
28 |
Vineyard Valley Shops |
69.62 |
74.68 |
74.68 |
49.37 |
67.09 |
29 |
Eighth Wonder Outlets |
79.75 |
64.56 |
45.57 |
77.22 |
66.77 |
30 |
Hawk's Landing |
59.49 |
60.76 |
64.56 |
73.42 |
64.56 |
31 |
Magnolia Way |
58.23 |
62.03 |
62.03 |
65.82 |
62.03 |
32 |
Tiger Paw Place |
68.35 |
63.29 |
58.23 |
51.90 |
60.44 |
33 |
Downtown Crossing |
53.16 |
56.96 |
69.62 |
46.84 |
56.65 |
34 |
Amphitheater Stores |
55.70 |
55.70 |
53.16 |
55.70 |
55.06 |
35 |
Starlight Pavilion |
54.43 |
58.23 |
63.29 |
43.04 |
54.75 |
36 |
Oakwood Shopping Village |
50.63 |
54.43 |
67.09 |
45.57 |
54.43 |
37 |
Azalea Path |
48.10 |
51.90 |
59.49 |
58.23 |
54.43 |
38 |
Six Mile Shopping Hub |
60.76 |
59.49 |
55.70 |
40.51 |
54.11 |
39 |
The Shoppes at Three Rivers |
62.03 |
46.84 |
35.44 |
68.35 |
53.16 |
40 |
Ten Pin Alley Shops |
49.37 |
48.10 |
44.30 |
67.09 |
52.22 |
41 |
Westwood Collection |
43.04 |
49.37 |
54.43 |
54.43 |
50.32 |
42 |
Terminal Market |
46.84 |
50.63 |
49.37 |
53.16 |
50.00 |
43 |
Lakeview Terrace |
51.90 |
53.16 |
56.96 |
36.71 |
49.68 |
44 |
Union Station Shops |
41.77 |
44.30 |
51.90 |
48.10 |
46.52 |
45 |
The Grove at First Street |
45.57 |
43.04 |
40.51 |
50.63 |
44.94 |
46 |
The Forum Shops |
40.51 |
41.77 |
39.24 |
56.96 |
44.62 |
47 |
Heritage Square |
44.30 |
45.57 |
46.84 |
34.18 |
42.72 |
48 |
Craftsman's Corner |
37.97 |
37.97 |
30.38 |
62.03 |
42.09 |
49 |
Patriot Place Shops |
34.18 |
40.51 |
50.63 |
37.97 |
40.82 |
50 |
Five Points Retail Park |
36.71 |
39.24 |
36.71 |
41.77 |
38.61 |
51 |
Millworks Retail |
32.91 |
35.44 |
37.97 |
44.30 |
37.66 |
52 |
Golden Valley Mart |
39.24 |
36.71 |
32.91 |
39.24 |
37.03 |
53 |
Diamond Heights Place |
31.65 |
34.18 |
43.04 |
31.65 |
35.13 |
54 |
Eastgate Bazaar |
56.96 |
31.65 |
17.72 |
32.91 |
34.81 |
55 |
Uptown Shoppes |
35.44 |
32.91 |
34.18 |
25.32 |
31.96 |
56 |
Harbor Lights Mall |
30.38 |
30.38 |
25.32 |
35.44 |
30.38 |
57 |
Valley View Outlets |
26.58 |
29.11 |
31.65 |
30.38 |
29.43 |
58 |
Pinecrest Mall |
17.72 |
26.58 |
41.77 |
24.05 |
27.53 |
59 |
Creekside Shops |
24.05 |
27.85 |
29.11 |
29.11 |
27.53 |
60 |
Moonbeam Mart |
18.99 |
25.32 |
26.58 |
26.58 |
24.37 |
61 |
Bluebonnet Row |
20.25 |
20.25 |
22.78 |
27.85 |
22.78 |
62 |
Wolf Run Outlets |
25.32 |
24.05 |
21.52 |
18.99 |
22.47 |
63 |
Dogwood Lane |
27.85 |
22.78 |
16.46 |
21.52 |
22.15 |
64 |
Kestrel Court |
29.11 |
18.99 |
15.19 |
20.25 |
20.89 |
65 |
Bridgewater Place |
16.46 |
21.52 |
27.85 |
12.66 |
19.62 |
66 |
Foundry Place |
21.52 |
15.19 |
18.99 |
16.46 |
18.04 |
67 |
Four Corners Marketplace |
11.39 |
13.92 |
20.25 |
22.78 |
17.09 |
68 |
The Junction Mall |
22.78 |
17.72 |
12.66 |
15.19 |
17.09 |
69 |
Central Park Retail |
15.19 |
16.46 |
24.05 |
11.39 |
16.77 |
70 |
Orchard Park Center |
12.66 |
11.39 |
10.13 |
17.72 |
12.97 |
71 |
Clearwater Commons |
10.13 |
12.66 |
11.39 |
10.13 |
11.08 |
72 |
Goldenrod Place |
13.92 |
10.13 |
1.27 |
13.92 |
9.81 |
73 |
Mountain Pass Shops |
6.33 |
8.86 |
13.92 |
8.86 |
9.49 |
74 |
Cedar Ridge Shops |
7.59 |
7.59 |
7.59 |
5.06 |
6.96 |
75 |
Maplewood Commons |
5.06 |
5.06 |
8.86 |
7.59 |
6.65 |
76 |
Bear Cub Alley |
8.86 |
6.33 |
3.80 |
6.33 |
6.33 |
77 |
Sunray Shops |
3.80 |
3.80 |
6.33 |
3.80 |
4.43 |
78 |
Main Street Exchange |
2.53 |
2.53 |
5.06 |
2.53 |
3.16 |
79 |
Hilltop Fair |
1.27 |
1.27 |
2.53 |
1.27 |
1.58 |
Conclusion — Why the Portfolio-Level Placer Analysis Matters
Looking asset-by-asset tells only half the story.
Raw visit counts or single-year rent rolls highlight obvious stars, but they miss three critical angles:
- Spatial productivity (Visits / Sq Ft)
- Customer stickiness (Average & median repeat visits)
- Trajectory (percentile rank changes year-over-year)
By stitching those metrics together—and expressing them as percentiles, z-scores, and blended indices—we surface patterns invisible in a one-to-one review:
“Big boxes pull the most traffic.” |
Several mid-size assets deliver top-decile Visits / Sq Ft, turning compact GLA into outsized footfall. |
“Anchor closures drive performance.” |
Rank-change tables pinpoint the exact year a dip began, often months before NOI feels the hit. |
“High traffic = success.” |
Loyalty overlays reveal centers with tourist-style visits but weak repeat engagement, guiding merchandising fixes. |
What stakeholders gain
Sharper capital allocation
Composite scores rank centers by balanced performance, ensuring cap-ex flows to assets with both high volume and high efficiency.
Evidence-based leasing & marketing
Loyalty laggards with strong Visits / Sq Ft become priority targets for tenant mix tweaks, community events, or way-finding upgrades.
Early risk detection
Assets sliding down percentile ranks trigger “yellow-flag” reviews before occupancy or rent metrics deteriorate.
Path forward
60 days | Layer in sales or leasing KPIs (e.g., sales per visit, rent-to-traffic ratios) to the blended index. | Links foot-traffic quality to revenue, improving ROI targeting. |
Quarterly | Publish an auto-updating dashboard with threshold alerts for rank drops or loyalty spikes. | Keeps asset managers focused on real-time movers, not lagging reports. |
Annual | Feed composite metrics into predictive models to forecast NOI growth and prioritize hold/refi/sell decisions. | Turns historical insight into forward-looking strategy. |
Bottom line: the Placer.ai portfolio analysis converts raw visit logs into a quantitative early-warning and opportunity-spotting system—one that sees beyond headline traffic numbers and equips decision-makers to steer capital, leasing, and marketing with confidence.